Monday, August 22, 2011

惠普与WebOS

惠普一年半前花12亿买PALM, 为的就是WebOS. 如今惠普宣布退出个人电脑和平板电脑市场, 停产WebOS, 就说明那12亿全都打水漂了. 最惨的是Jonathan Rubinstein, 他被称为iPod之父, 曾经是苹果的顶尖人物. 他离开乔布斯去PALM, 结果兵败惠普. 大将领兵, 才能重要, 兵力和军资更重要. 侍明主为俊杰也!

Thursday, January 13, 2011

Speculations of Outcomes from Verizon’s iPhone Launch

When Verizon's iPhone's available in Feb, people will jump into "real-life" testing.  At this moment, I'm guessing there are 3 possible outcomes of the Verizon's iPhone Launch.


The 1st would be what I think most media and people "believe" today – the Verizon iPhone has great reception.  The iPhone will finally be a completed smart phone, no longer limped by AT&T's poor coverage that hinges people from switching over from their brands.  Perhaps there will be a couple of complaints from individual consumer. But if the general crowd is happy with the new phone, it will be another wave of laughter on AT&T and how miserable it was when iPhone lovers had no choice.


The 2nd scenario would be the opposite of the above, and that is if Verizon fails general public's expectations.  You see, expectation floats, and it rises higher and higher as more speculation and gossip charm in.  People who are not familiar with the potential shortfalls of the CDMA technology might see things they didn't expect – for example, "simultaneous voice / data over 3G" is expected to be NOT available from Verizon.  I believe the Verizon iPhone has better reception/voice quality than the AT&T iPhone, but SOME people may say it's no big deal.


The 3rd one is something a little wild.  What if, both AT&T and Verizon's iPhones have issues with reception, with the Verizon iPhone performing slightly better?  Going back to the issue of "Antenna Gate" related to the iPhone 4's industrial design, as referred by Steve Jobs himself, it would be a disaster for Apple because people believe Verizon's network quality and technology.  I assume Apple would try to fix the signal attenuation issue in the CDMA version of the iPhone, although Apple claims the slight change in the new Verizon iPhone's industrial design was only and specifically for adapting the CDMA technology.


Should I rank the likelihood of above, I'd still arrange them in the same sequence as is.  Some insiders might have already tried the new Verizon iPhone (e.g. Apple and Verizon employees).  And I'm sure media like WSJ would have already gotten a "pre-briefing" of the performance kick.  I would just hope the media is correct and that the Verizon iPhone is the savior of the iPhone lovers.  May the 26% existing AT&T customers be happier in their everyday life, thanks to Verizon.  For me, I couldn't wait to read posts from Blogs that really runs a suite of RF tests and showcase the differences.

Friday, January 07, 2011

Thursday, August 19, 2010

联想的"乐phone"果然乐不起来

我在今天四月的时候预测过联想的"乐phone"销量超不过六十万只. 果然不出我所料, 联想的"乐phone"在今天第二季度的半个季度销售量"超过10万部" - 这是刚刚来自瘾科技中文版的消息.  通常一只手机的销售趋势都是只有在刚刚上市的时候才是最劲猛的, 所以就算联想一个季度能卖出二十万部, 我现在仍然不觉得"乐phone"的"寿命销量"能够超过六十万部. 杨元庆想卖出一百万部, 我觉得他高估了自己公司的实力.

我曾经亲耳听到一个联想中管对我说他如何如何喜欢苹果的产品, 大夸特夸自己有Mac Book等等. 如果连自己公司的人都不喜欢自己的产品, 它怎么能受到消费者的亲睐呢?